DecVar Workshop and Conference Information

Untitled Document

The CRCES Workshop on Societal Impacts of Decadal Climate
Variability in the United States

Venue:	The Hilton Waikoloa Village, Waikoloa (near Kona), Hawaii
Dates:	26-28 April 2007

Scientific Organizing Committee:
Vikram Mehta (Center for Research on the Changing Earth System (CRCES))
Rolf Olsen (Army Corps of Engineers - Institute for Water Resources)
Norman Rosenberg (CRCES)
Hans von Storch (Institute for Coastal Research, GKSS Research Center, Germany)
Robert Varady (Udall Center for Studies in Public Policy, University of Arizona)
Donald Wilhite (National Drought Mitigation Center, University of Nebraska - Lincoln)

Co-sponsors:
The NOAA-Climate Office/Sectoral Applications Research Program
The US Geological Survey
The US Army Corps of Engineers - Institute for Water Resources

Co-ordinator:
Ms. Janet Wood (Center for Research on the Changing Earth System (CRCES))

Desired Outcomes:

An initial qualitative (quantitative if possible) assessment of societal impacts of decadal climate variability (DCV) on the U.S.;
Identification of users of DCV and impacts information, the products that best serve their needs, and the means to convey such products to the users;
A plan to organize DCV impacts research and applications, with some specificity for important sectors;
Identification of issues for the DCV climate research community; and
A plan to identify and mobilize sources of funding.

Workshop Program
Thursday, 26 April 2007
7:30 AM	Breakfast and Registration on Kona Promenade
8:30 AM	Welcome and Purpose of the Workshop Vikram M. Mehta Center for Research on the Changing Earth System, Columbia, Maryland
8:45 AM	Importance of the Workshop Nancy Beller-Simms NOAA Climate Office, Silver Spring, Maryland
Session I:	Characteristics of DCV Phenomena (Chairman: Vikram Mehta, CRCES) Opening Recommendations Conclusions
9:00 AM	The Observed Decadal Climate Variability Vikram M. Mehta Center for Research on the Changing Earth System, Columbia, Maryland
9:30 AM	Droughts, Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures, and Climate Change Gerald Meehl National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado
10:00 AM	Decadal and Multidecadal Climate Variability in the Atlantic Sector - Observational Analyses, Modeling Studies, and Impacts over Continental Regions Thomas Delworth NOAA-Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, New Jersey
10:30-11:00 AM	Break
Session II:	Societal Sensitivity to Climate (Chairman: Cesar Izaurralde, JGCRI) Summary
11:00 AM	Vulnerability, Resilience, and Adaptation: Societal Causes and Responses Elizabeth L. Malone Joint Global Change Research Institute, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland
11:30 AM	Societal Impacts of Climate in the Southwest and U.S.-Mexico Border Region Robert G. Varady, Gregg Garfin, Barbara Morehouse, and Margaret Wilder Udall Center for Studies in Public Policy, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona
12:00 PM	Decadal Variability and Societal Impacts of Climate Roger Pielke University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado
12:30 PM	Enhancing Adaptive Capacity of Latin American Cities Paty Romero Lankao Institute for the Study of Society and Environment National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado
1:00-1:45 PM	Lunch (provided)
1:45 PM	Building Adaptive Capacity in Water- Scarce Environments: Governance, Knowledge and Institutional Change Maria Carmen Lemos (CANCELLED) School of Natural Resources and Environment, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Michigan
2:15 PM	Discussion
3:15-3:30 PM	Break
Session III:	Climate Impacts Inventory (Chairman: Michael J. Hayes, NDMC) Review Economic Aspects
3:30 PM	Modeled Effects of Moderate and Strong Los Niños on North American Crop Productivity and on U.S. Water Resources Cesar Izaurralde, Norman J. Rosenberg, and Allison Thomson Joint Global Change Research Institute and Center for Research on the Changing Earth System, Columbia, Maryland
4:00 PM	AgClimate: SECC¹ Climate Information and Risk Management System James W. Jones Agricultural & Biological Engineering University of Florida
4:30 PM	An Impacts Overview: Experiences from the National Drought Mitigation Center Michael J. Hayes National Drought Mitigation Center, University of Nebraska Lincoln, Nebraska
5:00 PM	End of the Day’s Play
6:30 PM	Icebreaker on Lagoon Lanai
Friday, 27 April 2007
7:30 AM	Breakfast on Kona Promenade
Session III:	Climate Impacts Inventory (Continued) (Chairman: Michael J. Hayes, NDMC)
8:30 AM	A European Approach for Assessing Ongoing and Future Storm Climate Change Hans von Storch Institute for Coastal Research, GKSS Research Center Geesthacht, Germany
9:00 AM	Climate and Human Health: Experiences in Africa Pietro N. Ceccato The International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University Palisades, New York
9:30 AM	Discussion
10:30-11:00AM	Break
Session IV:	Case Studies of DCV Impacts (Chairman: Rolf Olsen, USACE)
11:00 AM	Decadal Climate Variability and Food Security Mannava V.K. Sivakumar Agricultural Meteorology Division, World Meteorological Organization Geneva, Switzerland
11:30 AM	Decadal Climate Variability and Water Resources Management J. Rolf Olsen U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Institute for Water Resources Alexandria, Virginia
12:00 PM	Decadal Climate Variability Impacts on Water Resources and Agriculture in the Missouri River Basin Vikram M. Mehta, Norman Rosenberg, and Katherin Kullgren Center for Research on the Changing Earth System Columbia, Maryland
12:30 PM	Decadal Climate Variability and the Operation of Water Resource Systems Francisco de Assis de Souza Filho, Upmanu Lall, and Hyun-Han Kwon International Research Institute for Climate & Society Columbia University, Palisades, New York
1:00-1:45 PM	Lunch (provided)
1:45 PM	Integrated Assessment of Climatic Impacts on Agriculture and Water Resources: From MINK to the Conterminous USA Cesar Izaurralde and Norman J. Rosenberg Joint Global Change Research Institute and Center for Research on the Changing Earth System, Columbia, Maryland
2:15 PM	Multidecadal Regimes of US Hurricane Losses Eberhard Faust Department of Geo Risks Research, Munich Reinsurance Company AG Munich, Germany
2:45 PM	Discussion
Session V:	Economic Impacts and Implications of Improved DCV Forecasts (Chairman: Robert Varady, UCSPP)
3:15 PM	Lessons from the Economic Impacts of Drought Michael J. Hayes National Drought Mitigation Center, University of Nebraska Lincoln, Nebraska
3:45-4:00 PM	Break
4:00 PM	Loss Estimations on the Basis of a Reinsurer's Loss Data Base Eberhard Faust Department of Geo Risks Research, Munich Reinsurance Company AG Munich, Germany
4:30 PM	Economic and Social Impacts on Engineering Adaptations to Climate Variability and Change Charles Chesnutt U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Institute for Water Resources Alexandria, Virginia
5:00 PM	Discussion
6:00 PM	End of the Day’s Play
Saturday, 28 April 2007
7:30 AM	Breakfast on Kona Promenade
Session VI:	What Have We Learnt? (Chairman: Hans von Storch, GKSS)
8:30 AM	Summaries by Session Chairs, followed by discussion
10:30-10:45 AM	Break
Session VII:	Recommendations (Chairman: Vikram Mehta, CRCES)
10:45 AM	Summary of recommendations by the Session Chair, followed by final discussion
1:00 PM	Lunch (provided)
End of the Workshop


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